
Jozy Altidore, celebrating a goal against the Spanish Armada in the Confederations Cup.
Remember the excitement around US soccer last year after our lads knocked off Spain in the Confederations Cup? With the score 1-0 Yanks at the half, I left my own private cubicle hell and made my way to a little Belgian bar on W. 43rd St. where scores of fellow office squid were slowly sipping Stellas and waiting for the inevitable—which never happened as Gooch, Dempsey, Donovan and crew held on for the win. Suits were soiled by triumphantly spilled suds and hugs were received from the creepy guy from accounting but it was the best of times for domestic soccer.
Remember how we had the best team in the world, Brazil, down Two-Nil at the half only to watch it all crumble into a sea of red, white and blue tears that weekend? From my perch at the bar Floyd in Brooklyn Heights there was widespread, uh, ambivalence. Sure the hard core fans were a bit saddened by the loss but, damn, we were up on Brazil at the half!!! Now here is the tough part. Actually it’s pretty easy because it makes perfect sense: there will be a lot more pain that pleasure in store for Sam’s Army this summer in South Africa . . .injuries, an excess of confidence and a rough and ready group give me no choice but to tell you, dear reader, to expect a quick exit for our boys.
Hey, don’t shoot the messenger. That’s just the way it has to be in Group C.
Group C
1. England (9)
2. United States (14)
3. Algeria (28)
4. Slovenia (33)
Outlook from a Dilettante: To begin with, since France ‘98 (you remember, the year we finished dead last and were beat down by the Iranians), only three of the 36 teams that have gone down to defeat in their opening group-stage game have pulled their shit together and salvaged a trip to the knock out round. The fact that the USA has drawn its former colonial master—and most difficult opponent, England—in the first match, coupled with the fact that the two other teams in this group, Algeria and Slovenia, are by no stretch of the imagination unskilled teams, gives the Americans very little chance of qualification between slim and none. Did I mention that the hulking Oguchi Onyewu may not be fully recovered from a knee injury and the return of mercurial Charlie Davies looks even more grim?

A healthy Rooney is a dangerous one. The question remains: Will he be fit enough to do damage?
England, where futbol is both tabloid fodder as well as religion, will arrive in South Africa with a seasoned side that includes the second best player in the world Wayne Rooney up front and the philandering but nails John Terry in the back to go along with solid—if not aging—talents in Frankie Lampard, Steven Gerrard and Rio Ferdinand. David Beckham? Won’t miss him. When he was in his prime he was one of the best center-passing wings and THE most deadly free kick artist in the world, but those days have passed. All in all, this is an easy pick. For England to NOT make it out of this group would be tantamount to Duke losing to the Stevens Institute of Technology in the first round of the NCAA’s . . .
How’s this for trial by fire: for the “Desert Foxes” of Algeria to qualify for this edition of the World Cup they took on decades old rival Egypt in Khartoum, Sudan and, after Algeria won 2-0, 15,000 Sudanese troops were deployed to quell the rioting, Egyptian businesses in Algeria were burned down and Egypt pulled their ambassador from Algeria (yet when the US beat Mexico to qualify it made the back page of the local sports page. What can we say, we prefer baseball.). Algeria is a feast or famine team who lost 3-0 to Malawi and 4-0 to Egypt but then upset the Ivory Coast 1-0 before shocking Egypt in the finals. This is the exact type of team that I expect for the US to overlook (like Iran) and lose a 1-0 game to.
Finally Slovenia. Another team that carved out a huge upset to qualify and that is largely a mystery to semi-casual fans like myself. But when you take a closer look at this team, you see that that after qualifying in their European group came down to a home-and-home with Russia (who stoked the ire of the Slovenians by publically stating how pleased they were to be matched against what they thought of as a weaker squad) this team representing a country of 2 million came away with one of the most shocking upsets in qualifying history in knocking the Russkies out.
Beyond England, my pessimism makes it impossible for me to pick the USA and with a tough pick between two unpredictable and largely unknown teams. However, I have a feeling that the African teams will enjoy unprecedented success in this, the first World Cup on the continent, tournament. The picks are England and Algeria.