The New England Patriots have agreed to trade seven-time Pro Bowl receiver Randy Moss Wednesday, giving Moss the exit he expected all along and sending him back to the place where he became a superstar — Minnesota.

“He is a tremendous competitor and was an integral member of the Vikings organization,” Vikings coach Brad Childress said in a statement. “Once again, ownership was completely supportive of our efforts to add a valuable football player to our team. I know the entire organization is thrilled to welcome him back to the Twin Cities.”

The Vikings will send a third-round 2011 draft pick to the Patriots in return for Moss and New England’s seventh-round draft pick in 2012, a league source reported.

A source close to Moss told ESPN’s Chris Mortensen that Belichick informed Moss of the trade Wednesday morning by telephone. The source said the conversation was cordial, with both men expressing appreciation for the time they spent together. Moss will report to the Vikings on Wednesday and is said to be “excited” about returning to his original team with Wrangler wearin’ Brett Favre at quarterback, the source said.

As a result of the trade, the Patriots now have two picks in each of the first four rounds of the 2011 draft — their own picks and a first-round pick from Oakland (Richard Seymour trade) a second-round pick from Carolina (giving the Panthers the opportunity to select Armanti Edwards in the 4th Round this past April), the third-round pick from Minnesota and a fourth-rounder from Denver (Larry Maroney).

Fantasy Impact: Huzzah! Everybody wins! First and foremost, the Vikings get the best upgrade in the deal. Going from Bernard Berrian to Randy Moss is like trading in your Saturn coupe for a Maybach.  It’ll take a few weeks to get the plays and timing down between he and Favre, but when it happens, watch out. Randy Moss’ fantasy value takes a slight hit because of the newness, but the opportunity is still there. For a guy taken 2nd or 3rd among WRs, this is still a great chance to see a lot of balls and a lot of single coverage.

On the Patriots’ side of camp, I’m mixed. Slight uptick for Welker and Brady? Downtick? A clear uptick for Aaron Hernandez and Rob Gronkowski in terms of targets? Does this mean Brady’s value drops? I’m not sure. I still think they’re all startable (except Gronk and Tate at this point) and can be counted on week-to-week. Might they be gearing up for a Steve Smith trade or a Vincent Jackson trade? It makes entirely too much sense. They have 2 picks in each of the first four rounds! How can you not give up a second or third for one of those guys? They’re proven commodities that immediately help this team win now. We’ll keep our eyes peeled. Overall, big winner(s): Brett Favre, Adrian Peterson, Brandon Tate, Aaron Hernandez, Zygi Wilf. Big Losers: Percy Harvin, Sidney Rice, Folks who wanted to see New England challenge for a Super Bowl.

The Buffalo Bills have finally dealt backup/starting/backup running back Marshawn Lynch to the Seattle Seahawks, according to Lynch’s agent, Doug Hendrickson. Hendrickson released the news to the Associated Press this afternoon. Buffalo will receive a 2011 fourth-round pick and a 2012 conditional pick, a Seahawks team source told reporters. To make room for Lynch on the roster, the Seahawks will release plodding, forgotten running back Julius Jones, a league source told Schefter. Lynch, drafted in the first round of the 2007 draft by the Bills, has been the subject of trade rumors since the season began. The favorite to land the troubled back was Green Bay, but because GM Ted Thompson doesn’t part with draft picks, the deal hit snags.

Fantasy Impact: He has 164 yards on 37 attempts for the Bills, who have stumbled to an 0-4 record this season. Fred Jackson and rookie C.J. Spiller will likely will share carries now that Lynch has been traded, opening up what was a glut at RB for the hapless Bills.

Justin Forsett  is the Seahawks’ leading rusher with 215 yards on 51 attempts. But Seattle has gotten little else out of its rushing attack as both Jones and Leon Washington  have managed 30 yards on 12 attempts each.

Once Lynch gets up to speed after Seattle’s Week 5 bye, he instantly becomes flex-worthy if you need the help. I’d rather let him sit and marinate on the bench for a few weeks to see how the offense takes shape around him, but I can’t imagine he’ll be getting less than 13 carries a game right from the get-go. As for Fred Jackson and C.J. Spiller — great news for their owners.  I think Fast Freddy becomes the lead back, with Spiller getting about 8-10 touches per game.  At least now we know who to play in Buffalo.  Both players immediately become flex options this week against Jacksonville.

Week 2 was a telling one for many teams. The Vikings, Cowboys and 49ers — three pre-season division winner picks — are all sitting at 0-2 with very, very crucial match-ups coming. Another major storyline was quite a few coaches kicking up the quarterback carousel’s speed to hyper-drive, in some cases way, way too early and in others, maybe just surprising timing. Oakland switched to Bruce Gradkowski after just 6 quarters of the Jason Campbell era. Now, before Gradko injured his knee in Week 13 last season against the Redskins, he was playing some pretty solid football and not just in comparison to his predecessor. We’ll see how long he lasts before Al Davis’ corpse is screaming from the owner’s box to “put the black guy back in.” In Tennessee, Vince Young was yaanked after a couple of silly turnovers and Kerry Collins promptly led them to an “almost-comeback” that fell one or two plays short. Trouble in Music City? Hmm…  Carolina switched from ineffective Matt Moore to rookie Jimmy Clausen. This won’t end well, and John Fox will be a defensive coordinator in a different city next year.

But the biggest story is of course Philadelphia’s Andy Reid benching McNabb’s heir apparent, Kevin Kolb, for the re-energized running force that is Michael Vick. I don’t know if this will cost Kolb his future, but it’s a very interesting move from Reid. I believe that Reid made the right move in this case. Now, if the Cowboys were 2-0, the Redskins were 2-0 and the Giants somehow were also 2-0, I can see saying to yourself, your staff, your team, and your fans that “This is clearly not going to be our year, so let’s start re-building for 2011.” by enduring growing pains with Kolb and the other youngsters. But that’s not the case at all. The Eagles could win this division with a 9-7 record, conceivably. Vick is the hot hand, that’s who gives your team the best chance at winning right now. Why not see how far it’ll go? Now, if they skid and go 1-4 in their next five games, sure, you install Kolb and give him the last 9 games of the year to work out the kinks. But if you have any glimmer of hope to win or at least challenge for a division, don’t you owe it to the aforementioned groups to do everything in your power to put the team in the position to do so? It might not be the best move for Kolb, but it is, crystal clearly, the best move for the Philadelphia Eagles.

Week 3 Picks (Home Team in CAPS; My pick in bold)

Tennessee vs. NY GIANTS (-3)

Well, the game on Sunday night against the Colts did not go at all as I had hoped it would. There was no game plan, and because of that, very little execution. Chris Collinsworth announced that the Giants actually won the opening coin toss not seen on TV and elected to kick instead of receive. Really? On the road? Against PEYTON MANNING? Come on, Coughlin.  You’re smarter than that, aren’t you? Also, after the meltdown by Brandon Jacobs in Indy, I can’t see him being a dependable option in the running game just yet. Coughlin is like a jilted wife in matters of playing time. He’ll really only make you happy if you make him happy. And Jacobs ain’t making him happy. This week, the Titans come to town after a tough loss against Pittsburgh. Now, credit is due to the Pittsburgh defensive unit. They looked downright scary in that game. In holding Chris Johnson to his first sub-100 yard game in two seasons, they successfully stifled the entire offense of the Titans. (HINT: Giants need to key on the run/Johnson first, and see how the rest goes. Not let Tennessee dictate the pace and plan of the game like the Colts did.) Vince Young gets his starter’s gig back this week, but will he be on the hook again if the team falters?  That can’t be good for the young man’s fragile psyche. I like the Giants to rebound in this one, and expect Ahmad Bradshaw to be fed a very healthy diet of rock this week. Eli Manning could also have a good game, but needs to limit his turnovers.  For the Titans, I love Johnson, of course, and think we could have surprising, sneaky good weeks from Vince Young and Bo Scaife. Giants by 10.

• Fantasy Bruisers: Chris Johnson, Bo Scaife, Vince Young, Ahmad Bradshaw, Hakeem Nicks, Eli Manning, Steve Smith
• Fantasy Losers: Nate Washington, Kevin Boss, Mario Manningham

Buffalo vs. NEW ENGLAND (-14.5)

Coach Belichick won’t allow this team to lose back-to-back games to division rivals. Expect them to come out firing, going for the throat with the same intensity they showed in Week 1’s thrashing of Cincy at home. Buffalo has an underrated secondary which could pose potential problems for Tom Brady, but the cream always rises to the top so if you have him, start him. Same goes for Randy Moss and Wes Welker. We might get some running plays out of the Pats too, but don’t expect Fred Taylor to shine. My money is on the more versatile, 25-years younger RB, Benjarvus Green-Ellis. As for Buffalo… come on. They don’t even know who to start on a week-to-week basis. How could we? Every single person is a gamble.
 

• Fantasy Bruisers: Wes Welker, Randy Moss, Tom Brady, Benjarvus Green-Ellis, Aaron Hernandez, Fred Taylor
• Fantasy Losers: All Bills, Rob Gronkowski, Sammy Morris

Cleveland vs. BALTIMORE (-11)

The Ravens have been one of the bigger disappointments for their fans thus far, and that’s saying a lot given their opponents. With two tough games against ‘09 playoff teams (Jets, Cincy), the squad finally gets a taste of a favorable match-up with the division rivals Cleveland coming to town. This one could be a track meet for the Ravens. Cleveland hasn’t looked close to their late-season form from ‘09, and with injuries to Jerome Harrison and Jake Delhomme, it might be tough to get something going against a ferocious Ravens’ D. It’s too early in the season for a “let down” game like last year’s Steelers vs. Cleveland game that doomed the Steelers’ playoff hopes and catapulted the Browns toward their late-season surge. I think we’re looking at a breakout game for Joe Flacco here.  He’s not anywhere close to the carousel, yet, but another 3 INT game could get his seat very, very warm.  Remember, Marc Bulger is waiting in the wings and with a healthy line and weapons, he’s a proven winner in the NFL. Laying 11 points is always dicey, but, with the Ravens at home, I think it’s a good bet.

• Fantasy Bruisers: Joe Flacco, Anquan Boldin, Ray Rice, Todd Heap, Ravens DEF, Peyton Hillis
• Fantasy Losers: T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Derrick Mason, Mohammad Massaquoi, Cleveland DEF

Pittsburgh (-2.5)

vs. TAMPA BAY

Tampa Bay got out to a flying 2-0 start, thanks in part to a semi-soft schedule and some very solid play from a young, overachieving team. Don’t hold your breath for a 3-0 start.  The Steelers are similarly overachieving without their star QB, Ben Roethlisberger who is eligible to return from suspension Week 6 against Cleveland. Everyone expected the Steelers to be a .500 football team without their captain. Wrong. They’ve been lights out defensively, and pretty sharp on offense too. Now, this week is a test because they’ll be trotting Charlie Batch out there as a starter, his first start since Crystal Pepsi was around. But really, this will be about the defense. They’ve allowed just one TD this year, and just 20 total points. They should wreak havoc on the young Bucs. Watch out, AFC. We’re looking at a 3-0 Steelers team playing with a 4th string QB…while their offensive leader chills out with High School kids! Wait, isn’t that what got him in trouble in the first place?

• Fantasy Bruisers: Pittsburgh DEF, Hines Ward, Heath Miller, Rashard Mendenhall, Kellen Winslow, Mike Williams
• Fantasy Losers: Josh Freeman, Cadillac Williams

Cincinnati (-3) vs. CAROLINA

I think Carolina is a wasteland, top to bottom, and feel terrible that quality pros like Steve Smith, DeAngelo Williams and young powerhouse Jonathan Stewart are stuck there. Cincy is going to roll in there like a hurricane (too soon?) and rip this team up. I just don’t see Jimmy Clausen’s debut game going even 1/3 as well as Sam Bradford’s did statistically. Use your judgment on Carson Palmer, but the rest of the guys should do alright for the Bengals.

• Fantasy Bruisers: Chad Ochocinco, Terrell Owens, Jermaine Gresham, Cincy DEF, Cedric Benson (if healthy), DeAngelo Williams
• Fantasy Losers: Jordan Shipley, Carolina DEF, Steve Smith, Jonathan Stewart

Atlanta vs. NEW ORLEANS (-3)

This game has the makings of an upset in the NFC South. The Super Bowl champs have played well thus far running out to a 2-0 start after two tough games against the Vikes and the Niners. Now, they return home to face a solid Falcons squad who is better than their 1-2 record indicates.  Last week’s 41-7 drubbing of the Cardinals was a better indicator than their 15-9 loss to the Steelers. Plus, last week’s groin injury heard (felt?) ’round the world was a real decimating injury for yours truly. Having Turner on two teams, his 9 rushes for 75 yards had me giddy. He was en route to a 200 yard game with two TDs, I was sure of it. And then he pulls his penis, and then Jason Snelling came in and became the hot handcuff of the week by running roughshod over the hapless Cardinals.Wow. But I digress… The Falcons run defense leaves something to be desired, but the New Orleans Saints aren’t known for their ground and pound. I like the Falcons here, but I think the Saints pull out a tough victory at home. Look for solid starts from all the regulars, and my sleeper pick today? Why, that’s Tony Gonzalez. Sure, how can a Hall of Famer be a sleeper? Well, the guy only has 54 receiving yards on 4 catches. Look for a breakout today to the tune of 5 catches for 45 yards and a score.

• Fantasy Bruisers: Michael Turner, Roddy White, Tony Gonzalez, Drew Brees, Pierre Thomas, Marques Colston, Jeremy Shockey
• Fantasy Losers: Atlanta DEF, Matt Ryan, Robert Meachem, Ladell Betts (like I needed to say it)

San Francisco vs. KANSAS CITY (+3)

If you saw the opening week MNF game, you know exactly why I’m picking them.  Let’s hope the Chiefs fans are out in full force for their undefeated team’s second home game.  San Fran is struggling to start the year after two tough games against the Seahawks (shocker) and Saints (down to the wire, not shocking). It’s hard to consider this an upset given that one team is undefeated and the other is winless, but given the expectations coming into the season, I’d say this qualifies. Matt Cassel hasn’t figured it out yet, and I dunno if he will this season, but if Todd Haley can get the rushing attack on track against a tough 49ers D, this one could come down to the wire.

• Fantasy Bruisers: Vernon Davis, Frank Gore, Alex Smith, Jamaal Charles, Tony Moeaki, Dwayne Bowe
• Fantasy Losers: Michael Crabtree, Matt Cassel, Thomas Jones

Detroit (+11.5) vs. MINNESOTA

Maybe I’m crazy, but I think something has to give this week for the Lions, and I like them winning a tough one on the road here. Not just with the points, but actually winning. I’d feel a lot more comfortable if Matt Stafford were healthy, but with Jahvid Best, Calvin Johnson and Brandon Pettigrew, I like the odds this week. I think the Vikes are having major, major problems with personnel and Brett Favre has reportedly been having second thoughts about his comeback thanks to the lack of chemistry and talent on the roster. Though it’s predominantly a WR issue, there’s still the concern that the team doesn’t have the same fearsome reputation on the defensive side of the ball too. I’m going for the big upset today, Detroit winning outright.

• Fantasy Bruisers: Jahvid Best, Calvin Johnson, Adrian Peterson, Visanthe Shiancoe
• Fantasy Losers: Tony Scheffler, Shaun Hill, Brett Favre, Bernard Berrian
  

Dallas vs. HOUSTON (-2.5)

Houston has been on a nice roll since the end of last season, and they’re doing it now without arguably their best defensive player in ROY Brian Cushing. They’ll be hosting a sad, underachieving Dallas squad desperately seeking their first win. The pressure that team is under is palpable. They’re built to win, and win often. I can see why people would pick them — they’re one of the most talented teams top to bottom in the NFL. But this week, I have to take the home team. I think Matt Schaub has the chops to do what Jay Cutler did to the Dallas secondary, carving them up by alternating between plays to deep threat Jacoby Jones, matchup nightmare Kevin Walter and all-galaxy talent Andre Johnson. That’s not even mentioning TE on the mend, Owen Daniels, who is still working his way back. Oh, and they have a pretty decent running game, ,too. Dallas will challenge them, but the fact that they’re pressing will affect how they play. I like the Texans 27-23.

• Fantasy Bruisers: Tony Romo, Miles Austin, Felix Jones (just a hunch), Matt Schaub, Andre Johnson, Kevin Walter
  
• Fantasy Losers: Marion Barber, Roy Williams, Dallas DEF, Arian Foster, Jacoby Jones, Owen Daniels
  

Washington  vs. ST. LOUIS (+4)

I don’t know what it is, but much in the same way I’m calling for a Detroit win, I think the Rams are due. Sam Bradford looks like the real deal after three straight years of draft-day whiffs in the first round. Everyone called for Ndumakong Suh as the clear cut slam dunk pick, a can’t-miss prospect that this franchise needed. But after getting burned on Chris Long, and looking like it might go that way on Jason Smith, this team with second-year man Steve Spagnuolo calling the shots needed a leader. They found their man. Now, this is strictly a hunch because as we all saw last week the Redskins can score points. If it goes to a shootout, the Redskins will lap the Rams. The key to this game for the Rams will be containing Donovan McNabb and the run, and forcing him to rely on throwing on the move, which is when he makes mistakes. Let’s see if Steven Jackson can finally hit paydirt, a disappointing stat to all his fantasy owners over the last two years has been his lack of TDs. Maybe this week is THE WEEK? For the ‘Skins, you have to like Santana Moss because of his outside speed against the Rams’ secondary. I don’t trust their running game as I think the main back, Mr. Clinton Portis, has looked slow, sad and lonely. If I were a betting man, I’d be taking the Rams this weekend.

• Fantasy Bruisers: Santana Moss, Donovan McNabb, Chris Cooley, Sam Bradford, Steven Jackson
• Fantasy Losers: Clinton Portis, Malcom Kelly, Rams DEF, Mark Clayton
  

Philadelphia (-3) vs. JACKSONVILLE

Come on, this is too easy. Michael Vick should tear it up on the JV squad that is Jacksonville. In fact, I love every Eagle this week. If you have space to start their center, do it. Jacksonville looks tepid. A lukewarm puddle of urine. Terrible. MJD, you wanna get in on this fantasy football thing or what?

• Fantasy Bruisers: Every Eagle, Eagles DEF, Andy Reid, Jeffrey Lurie, Maurice Jones-Drew
  
• Fantasy Losers: Every other Jaguar
  

Indianapolis  (-5.5) vs. DENVER

After their Week 1 loss, Indianapolis has looked every bit the Super Bowl contender and AFC Championship team that we all thought they were. Peyton Manning is off to another fast start and is doing a great job keeping his receivers involved. He’s the master of taking what defenses give him. I have 100% faith in the Colts and even going in to Denver to play a feisty Broncos team, I think they should do just fine in handling their business. Start the usuals with a particular eye on Reggie Wayne, Austin Collie and Dallas Clark.  With Champ Bailey and Andre’ Goodman both nursing injuries, the Broncos’ secondary could get absolutely torched. For the Broncos, what can I say. Injuries have really taken a toll on this team. We know what happened to Elvis Dumervil in pre-season, Ryan Clady is still recovering from his off-season injury, the cornerbacks are hurt, Knowshon Moreno may miss this game with a hammie… it’s really unbelievable. Demaryius Thomas, who missed Game 1, came back for a Week 2 win in a big way. I like the rapport he has with the picture of consistency, Kyle Orton. This is a throw first team. Don’t even second guess it. They may try to run behind Laurence Maroney and Correll Buckhalter this week, but I still think Orton can muster 220 yards and a score if you need a spot start.

• Fantasy Bruisers: Peyton Manning, Dallas Clark, Austin Collie, Reggie Wayne, Kyle Orton, Demaryius Thomas, Eddie Royal, Jabar Gaffney
• Fantasy Losers: Donald Brown, Indianpolis DEF, Brandon Lloyd, Laurence Maroney

San Diego (-4.5) vs. SEATTLE

I’ve been quite surprised by both teams in this battle. San Diego clearly misses its number 1 receiver, Vincent Jackson, and its number one offensive lineman, Marcus McNeil. The rapport between Philip Rivers and Antonio Gates seems unaffected, and Malcom Floyd has shown flashes of great ability, but one can only imagine what this team would be looking like had they elected to pay Jackson and McNeil and bring back LT. Ryan Mathews just hasn’t looked as good as advertised.  I’d be wary of his playing time moving forward with the emergence of human bowling ball Mike Tolbert performing as well as he has. For the Seahawks, who knew? They’re sitting at 1-1, right in the thick of things in a very, very poor NFC West division. I simply don’t like their chances against the perennial AFC West champs and think that, as usual, talent will win out in this one. It’ll be interesting to see if the RB timeshare they have going with Forsett, Washington and Jones gets figured out this weekend. Forsett is clearly the best option as he can run and catch out of the backfield. Leon Washington is a good change of pace back and tremendous on special teams. Julius Jones is essentially a dead man walking. Remember when the Cowboys passed on Steven Jackson to grab Julius in the second round? Nice one, Jerry. Chargers go in to the home of the 12th man and win going away.

• Fantasy Bruisers: Philip Rivers, Antonio Gates, Mike Tolbert, Malcom Floyd, John Carlson, Justin Forsett
• Fantasy Losers: Legadu Naane, Ryan Mathews (injury), Matt Hasselbeck, Mike Williams, Leon Washington

Oakland (-4.5) vs. ARIZONA

This has the makings of a good ol’ fashioned West coast stink-out. In this battle of the Titans, Bruce Gradkowski takes his Oakland Raiders deep into the desert to fight the potent Derek Anderson and his Arizona Cardinals. Yeesh. I expect this to be a run fest, so if you have McFadden, he’s a must-start. As far as receivers go, I’d take a gamble on Louis Murphy if I had to, but feel comfortable starting Zach Miller. The Arizona Cardinals have a sub-par linebacker corps. who I don’t think will be able to play the run AND stop a tight end with Miller’s receiving ability. Will this be Larry Fitzgerald’s breakout game? Unlikely as he’ll draw Nnamdi Asomugha in coverage. With Early Doucet already expected to miss the game, and Beanie Wells battered, I just can’t see the Anderson-helmed Cardinals taking this one, even at home. And that says a lot since, you know, they’re playing the Raiders.

• Fantasy Bruisers: Darren McFadden, Zach Miller, Tim Hightower
• Fantasy Losers: Darius Hayward-Bey, Michael Bush, Beanie Wells, Larry Fitzgerald, Steve Breaston

NY Jets vs. MIAMI (-2.5)

For the second weekend in a row, the Jets will battle an AFC East opponent that has “owned” them in recent years. Miami is something like 4-1 in the last five meetings between the two teams, sweeping the Jets in their 2009 series. Now, with upgrades on defense (Karlos Dansby, namely) and on offense (Brandon Marshall, namely) this Dolphins team currently sits at 2-0.  We know what their running back cadre can do as Ronnie Brown and Sticky Ricky Punch, despite injury and age concerns, just keep on ticking. Plus, without Darrelle Revis to safeguard Marshall, I expect a HUGE day from Marshall, and in turn, a decent day from Henne.  If you have a QB like Flacco or Manning, feel free to roll the dice on this matchup play, especially if you have Marshall.  That pair should pay dividends.  For the Jets, what will we see? The Week 1 disappointment, the anemic offense who couldn’t get first downs let alone touchdowns? Or the Week 2, taking the Pats to the woodshed, seamlessly running like a well-oiled machine. Miami’s DEF is underrated, to be sure. And we’re not even certain if we’ll see Shonn Greene plodding and fumbling his way through another game. I like LT 2 here because of the matchup problems he creates. Also, don’t be shocked if Braylon gets targeted quite a few times — remember, in his first game with the team last season, he caught a TD against Miami.  they may look to exploit his size and speed on the outside. Overall, I think the trend continues. Miami by 6.

• Fantasy Bruisers: LaDainian Tomlinson, Braylon Edwards, Dustin Keller, Brandon Marshall, Chad Henne, Ronnie Brown
• Fantasy Losers: Jerricho Cotchery, Mark Sanchez, Shonn Greene, Ricky Williams, Davone Bess, Anthony Fasano

Green Bay (-3) vs. CHICAGO

A classic Monday Night matchup in the Black & Blue division! With Chicago sitting at 2-0, narrowly avoiding defeat at the hands of Detroit in week 1 balanced out by a thrashing of Dallas in D-town, this has major playoff implications written all over it. Pitting Jay Cutler against Aaron Rodgers is clearly the fulcrum of the game. Whoever wins that battle, has less giveaways to two very solid defenses you KNOW will be getting up for this one, and makes good decisions on third down will win this one. I actually don’t see it being a turnover-filled game. I think, despite Mike Martz being involved, there will be relatively conservative game planning featuring a lot of runs, dump-offs, swing passes, tight end useage, etc. This will be a clock management game about controlling possession time.  Green Bay has very high expectations, even without their lead running back Ryan Grant who is out for the season.  Remember, I was calling it two weeks ago that Brandon Jackson is the back-up to Ryan Grant for a reason.  I knew he wasn’t going to come in and light the world on fire.  It doesn’t happen that way. LeSean McCoy had a decent stretch last season when Westbrook was concussed, sure.  But that’s the exception. Usually, guys who have been in the league for a few years and are STILL backups are there for a reason. Very rarely do they just come out of the woodwork to lead a team.  Thanks, John Kuhn, for making me look smart. The main man I love in this, besides Rodgers, is Jermichael Finley. Tell me who on the Bears can cover him. He’ll run circles around Lance Briggs, and he’ll run over their safties. I expect a big game from Finley. On the Bears side of the ball, the only guy I really trust is Forte and that’s because of opportunity. On a sidenote, I can’t stand Jay Cutler. He’s a spoiled rotten little baby just a shade better than Philip Rivers in the Richie Rich department. I really hope he throws 4 INTs this week and not just because I have the GB DEF in two leagues. It’s the little pleasures that make life enjoyable. And going to bed on Monday night knowing the Pack beat the Bears 31-17 and Jay Cutler was 21-40 for 225, 1 TD and 4 INTs would be divine.

• Fantasy Bruisers: Aaron Rodgers, Jermichael Finley, Donald Driver, Greg Jennings, GB DEF, Matt Forte, Jay Cutler
• Fantasy Losers: Brandon Jackson, James Jones, Earl Bennett, Devin Aromashadu, Devin Hester, Greg Olsen

Boy oh boy, and here I thought Andy Reid — who is as big as a van — wouldn’t be able to back pedal this quickly. But that’s just what he did in choosing Michael Vick over Kevin Kolb despite his clean bill of health. Reid, the mastermind behind the trade that sent Donovan McNabb — the greatest Eagles quarterback in history — down the turnpike to D.C., installed his man this summer with the promise of a learning curve, slow growth, and an eventual dynasty built around young studs Kolb, LeSean McCoy, DeSean Jackson, Brent Celek and Jeremy Maclin. Instead, he’s opting for the quick fix to win games now.  And I can’t say I blame him.

Furthermore, teams across the country in need of help at QB (Arizona, Buffalo, Cleveland, Seattle, Oakland all come to mind) apparently began calling earlier today to see if Kolb could be had. When asked Wednesday whether Kolb would be on the Eagles’ roster after the Oct. 19 trade deadline, Eagles coach Andy Reid said, “Listen, I can’t predict anything down that far; nobody in this league can do that.” Nice vote of confidence, huh?

Kolb has missed the past six quarters because of a concussion, and Michael Vick (his temporary replacement, and insurance policy) played well in his absence. Kolb was cleared to practice and was expected to run the first-team offense Wednesday. However, Tuesday night, Vick was named the Eagles’ starting quarterback, with Reid saying, “When someone is playing at the level Michael Vick is playing, you have to give him an opportunity.”

Vick threw for 175 yards and one touchdown and ran for 103 yards, and this past Sunday he passed for 284 yards and two touchdowns in the Eagles’ victory over the very unlucky, very tenacious Detroit Lions.

Fantasy Impact: Dump Kolb, now. He’s not worth a dime. And like I said, there’s no real foul here in the real world. Teams are built to win and win now. If you’re not challenging for a division crown, for a playoff spot, then you’re either the worst organization in sports, or the Cleveland Browns. If Andy Reid thinks his team has more of a chance to challenge in the W-I-D-E   O-P-E-N NFC East with Michael Vick’s athleticism and leadership, I say go for it. Does it screw those of us who drafted Kolb in the 4th-6th round this past August? Well, yeah, completely.  But like the Eagles will do, we all have to adapt.  Kolb will have to wait for his opportunity now, but he’ll be paid almost $13 million to do so. I’d be fine with that if I were him. If you did grab him, I’d recommend trying to sign or trade for Kyle Orton, or slog it out for three weeks while you wait for Ben Roethlisberger to join his shockingly 2-0 Steelers.  Even if you have to overpay for him by giving up a Flex/RB2 or RB3, so be it. He’ll come back, and they’ll throw, and life will be good again.

Well, it’s Week 2 of the 2010 NFL season. Far too early to get too excited by Week 1’s results, and conversely, too early to start jumping off the bandwagon of your favorite (or favored) team (I’m looking squarely at Jets fans, and maybe a sideways glance at Cowboys fans here).

Week 2 will give us a better idea on how things are looking for the teams we root for, the teams we root against, and for our fantasy squads. Not sure if waiting until the 6th round to grab Kevin Kolb instead of taking one of the Top 5 was smart? How about the decision to pass on Arian Foster who, by all stats and recorded video evidence of his performance last week, could have been in the mix for a Top 3 pick? Will you miss Ryan Grant? Does Brett Favre get his act together, or should he have stayed focused on Wrangler commercials? Some of these questions will start to be answered this week.

We have a clear marquee game this Sunday in Manning Bowl 2 – Eli vs. Peyton. That should be a great one because it follows the recipe to a tee:

• Peyton at home on a Sunday night game, his team already in a 0-1 hole. It’s going to be like walking into a hornet’s nest. I wouldn’t be shocked if he threw for 300+ yards and 3 TDs.
• Eli coming to town with his talented offensive corps., making it a much better team than in 2006 when the Colts were clearly the best team in the NFL.
• A powerhouse running game versus a dreadful, Sanders-less Colts D who looked downright over-matched last weekend.

Other quality match-ups include the Monday Nighter (Saints at 49ers), divisional bloodbaths (Cincy hosting the Ravens; Patriots at NY Jets) and a couple of upset specials in the making (Lions against the Eagles in Detroit, Chicago traveling to Jerryworld to take on the “vaunted Cowboys”).  Let’s get right into it…

Week 2 Picks (Home Team in CAPS; My pick in bold)

CLEVELAND vs. Kansas City (+3)

Last week, I advised everyone I talked to to watch out for the Chiefs this season. They’ve had two very nice drafts under Todd Haley and are doing a good job building up a very solid offensive unit around presumed franchise QB, Matt Cassel. The defense has gotten better as well and for as many mistakes as Eric Berry will make as a rookie (see Legedu Naane’s 59-yard TD thanks to his blown coverage) he will make plays. He’s that dynamic. Plus, did you see the kind of support they got in KC while a hurricane passed through? That’s got to help. I love Jamaal Charles this year, and as soon as Haley sees that he’s the one that needs more carries, they should really start to sizzle. Will Dwayne Bowe finally put together his breakout game against a tough Browns secondary? On the other side, the Browns don’t have it figured out yet, and that’s because Eric Mangini is still calling the shots. Jerome Harrison was a beast down the stretch in 2009, that’s not up for debate. The guy was in the discussion for a first round pick this year (albeit last February) because of how he performed, toting the rock an unbelievable 34, 39 and 33 times in the final three games for 561 yards and 5 TDs. Fast-forward to now, and Peyton Hillis is stealing carries. Let’s see if Mangini can figure this one out, or if Holmgren gives him enough rope to hang himself. The Browns couldn’t beat the Bucs last week. Their starting QB is out with an ankle. Kansas City beat the defending AFC West Champs. They’re young, hungry and talented.  The choice seems clear.

• Fantasy Bruisers: Jamaal Charles, Dwayne Bowe, Jerome Harrison, Mohammad Massaquoi
• Fantasy Losers: Josh Cribbs, Matt Cassel, Seneca Wallace

GREEN BAY (-13) vs. Buffalo

So, Ryan Grant is done for the year. Do you hear that sound? It was the sound of 45% of the country yawning. Sure, Grant has been the picture of consistency and health in his somewhat short and somewhat stellar career in GB. But the show must go on, and this show is based around the golden arm of former Golden Bear, Aaron Rodgers. As long as he’s healthy, and has his veritable arsenal of weapons in that science fiction passing attack, this team will be okay. I’d be more worried about the defense, namely the secondary. This week, they take on a Bills team who is surprisingly adept at defending the pass, but are susceptible to getting gashed by the run. Oh the irony. Are you into this Brandon Jackson-mania? A lot of people are talking about him like he’s the thawed cryogenically unfrozen version of Emmitt Smith circa 1992. I’m not buying it. This guy isn’t a rookie. And he was Ryan Grant’s back-up for a reason. He’s never carried it 100-times in a season in the pros. He never carried it 200 times in a season in college — and he went to Nebraska! I’m not saying he won’t do well, I’m just sayin’ “Show me first before I start buying the hype.” Certainly an enviable position to be in, but let’s just see what he does with the opportunity first. Need I point to Shonn Greene’s first start as an example of why we temper our expectations?

• Fantasy Bruisers:Aaron Rodgers, Greg Jennings, Jermichael Finley, (fine) Brandon Jackson
• Fantasy Losers: Everyone on Buffalo

Baltimore(-2.5) vs.  CINCINNATI

You’ve got to like what we saw out of Baltimore last Monday. They played hard, and shut up the great mouths of New York. The offensive unit will continue to get their collective stride, and while this is a tough divisional game, I think Baltimore comes out and empties the clip on the Bengals. Flacco-to-Boldin looks like it might be said a lot this year. I love Ray Rice, as usual. On the other side, don’t be fooled about Carson Palmer’s stats from last week.  It was done about 60% in garbage time since New England raced out to a 31-3 lead. His elder receivers might be worth a good long look this week against Baltimore’s terrible secondary, and I think the best bet is Jermaine Gresham. Cedric Benson will likely be bottled up pretty well by that ferocious Ravens DEF.

• Fantasy Bruisers:Ray Rice, Anquan Boldin, Todd Heap, Joe Flacco,  Chad Ochocinco, Jermaine Gresham
• Fantasy Losers: Cedric Benson, Carson Palmer, Willis McGahee, Derrick Mason

TENNESEE (-5) vs.   Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh sneaked out a tough home win against a game opponent in the Atlanta Falcons Week  1. Rashard Mendenhall had a very respectable stat line after a slow start, providing the game-winning touchdown jaunt in O.T. This week’s test is a little tougher as the team travels south to take on the Titans, Chris Johnson and a newly energized defense. This should be a battle. Chris Johnson has rushed for over 100 yards in 12 straight games over the past two seasons, but it will take quite a bit of good fortune to do that against this DEF of Pittsburgh. They’re still legit. If Vince Young can soften them up with play action passes, some outside looks to Nate Washington, Justin Gage and co. to keep Troy Polamalu out of the box, he might do it. I like the Titans at home in this one.  Dennis Dixon can only have so much luck.

• Fantasy Bruisers: Chris Johnson, Rashard Mendenhall, Hines Ward, Mike Wallace, Pittsburgh DEF
• Fantasy Losers: Vince Young, Bo Scaife, Heath Miller, Kenny Britt

Philadelphia vs.  DETROIT (+6.5)

I’m calling the upset here! Detroit got absolutely jobbed last weekend in Chicago and I’d like to take a moment to address that. In most instances, once the ball crosses the plane of the front end of the goal line, it’s a touchdown. So on a run from the 1-yard line, a running back can jump over the line, hold the ball out like a grocery store checkout girl scanning a loaf of bread, and even if his ass ends up on the 4-yard line because of the push, if he’s placed the ball over this purely theoretical line, it’s a touchdown.  Okay, still with me? Now, Calvin Johnson catches a pass and the chain of events went like this: 1) ball caught 2) right foot plants 6-yards deep in the end zone 3) half-second later, left foot plants 4) hindquarters hit the paint and 5) the ball touches the back end line as he’s bracing his fall/pushing himself back up so he can celebrate his miraculous Shaun Hill-thrown touchdown pass. Just watch the replay. Anyway, I like them at home, angry, against a young Eagles team with a back-up QB at the helm. Sure, the back-up QB in question, Ron Mexico, looked deadly in the second half of the Packers game, almost single-handedly leading them back to the victory. But, I dunno, I’m going with the home dogs in this one.

• Fantasy Bruisers: Jahvid Best, Calvin Johnson, Jeremy Maclin, Michael Vick, LeSean McCoy, Philly DEF
• Fantasy Losers: Nate Burleson, Tony Scheffler, DeSean Jackson, Detroit DEF

DALLAS (-7) vs. Chicago

Dallas is coming off an upset against a tough Washington team on Sunday night. Chicago barely escaped a barn burner at home against the Detroit Lions (travesty explained above). Now, Jerryworld is the stage for what is surely a must-win for Wade Phillips and the Cowboys. Imagine they started 0-2 after all the talk of a “Super Bowl home game?” I don’t think it happens, but if I were a betting man (ahem), that touchdown is really tempting. However, cooler heads prevail and I have to take the angry home team here in what will likely be a good game, and potentially filled with offensive pyrotechnics. If Dallas gets its two O-linemen back and healthy this week as expected, Tony Romo will be more comfortable and that’ll lead to some nice situations against a middling Bears DEF. I like the usuals if you’re thinking about Fantasy Footballers for both teams. The only yellow flag would be Jason Witten because he may be asked to block more than run routes again.

• Fantasy Bruisers: Marion Barber III, Miles Austin, Tony Romo, Johnny Knox, Matt Forte
• Fantasy Losers: Chicago DEF, Roy Williams, Greg Olsen, Tashard Choice, Jay Cutler

CAROLINA ( -3.5) vs. Tampa Bay

A snooze-fest in real life. I’m very glad I don’t live in either market. From a fantasy perspective, start the regulars and anticipate Carolina (even without Matt Moore at 100%) to get a lead and then do the football equivalent of the four-corner offense in hoops — steady ground and pound with Brown Sugar and The Daily Show carrying north of 40 total times. For the Bucs, steer clear if possible. You might get something from Caddy and Kellen Winslow, but that’s about it.

• Fantasy Bruisers: DeAngelo Williams, Jonathan Stewart, Steve Smith, Carnell Williams, Kellen Winslow
• Fantasy Losers: Mike Williams, Ernest Graham, Josh Freeman, Matt Moore

ATLANTA (-6.5) vs.  Arizona

After mustering only 3 FGs against Pittsburgh, coupled with anemic running from (my first round pick) Michael Turner, and only 2 catches for HoFer Tony Gonzalez, I fully expect the Falcons’ home opener against a very, very suspect Cardinals team to go much better than Week 1. I love Matt Ryan in the dome, the defense should be a beast against the run — especially if Beanie sits — and I think the aforementioned runner and tight end have nice games too. On the flipside, I’m going to be watching this Derek Anderson/Steve Breaston dynamic closely. Is 132 yards receiving a fluke that can be attributed to simply playing the Rams? Also, if Tim “Banana Hands” Hightower drops another ball on the turf, does LaRod Stephens-Howling take over the show if Wells sits? Atlanta rolls by 10+.

• Fantasy Bruisers: Michael Turner, Matt Ryan, Tony Gonzalez, Roddy White, Larry Fitzgerald
• Fantasy Losers: Steve Breaston, Derek Anderson, Tim Hightower,

MINNESOTA vs. Miami (+5.5)

Another road ‘dog pick! Call me a sucker, but I am not buying any of the Vikings hype whatsoever.  Partly because I cannot stand the pandering to the QB guy that went on, and partly because I simply think they are poorly coached from the top down. Miami needs this one because of one of the most brutal and ominous stretches of schedule in the league coming up. After this, they have New England and the Jets at home, enjoy a bye week, then have games at Green Bay, Pittsburgh at home, at Cincinnati, at Baltimore and Tennessee at home. Yeesh. Well, while the season is still young, let’s see if they can go up to the dome and steal one against one of the favored NFC teams. Vikings at 0-2? Don’t rule it out… I like Chad Henne in this one, and I think Brandon Marshall could have 10+ catches. The Dolphins running game will need to be in top form to make waves against the Williams Wall et. al and don’t be shocked if they employ a strategy similar to New Orleans’ in the first game of the year. That’d be lots of passing, no-huddle looks and quick underneath routes early to gas out the defense. Then, once they’re wheezin’, you pound the football. It could work… Hey Vincent Jackson, are you sure this is where you want to languish for one Brett Favre-led sub-par year and then a lifetime of Tavaris Jackson? No thanks, man. But then again, what do you care, you just want the money.

• Fantasy Bruisers: Adrian Peterson, Visanthe Shiancoe, (Sleeper alert: Greg Camarillo against his former team?) Brandon Marshall, Ronnie Brown, Chad Henne
• Fantasy Losers: Percy Harvin, Bernard Berrian, Ricky Williams, Davone Bess

OAKLAND (-3.5) vs. St. Louis

Love what Sam Bradford showed last week, but I can’t see the Rams’ doing anything if they’re asking a rookie to throw it 50+ times per game. We’ll see if they can get up for a west coast game against the upstart Raiders whose Defense looks like it could be something to reckon with if they can figure out how to stop the run.  They didn’t show that last week against Tennessee and Chris Johnson, but let’s give this some time. The talent is there. I think a healthy combo of Darren McFadden and Michael Bush could mean a long, long day for the Rams. If Jason Campbell can pull it together and spread the ball around to his receivers and big time tight end, Zach Miller, they could really make some noise in the AFC West which looks wide open right now with the Chiefs being the only team with a win. From a fantasy plays perspective, my sleeper pick for this game is Louis Murphy. The burner could get himself some gaudy numbers against St. Louis’ small secondary. Prediction: 4 catches, 90 yards and a TD.

• Fantasy Bruisers: Steven Jackson, Zach Miller, Louis Murphy, Michael Bush (if he’s suiting up)
• Fantasy Losers: Sam Bradford, Mark Clayton, Jason Campbell, Darren McFadden

DENVER (-3.5) vs. Seattle

Denver began the great roster overhaul last season when McDaniels came in, cleaned house, shipped out Cutler. It continued with the trade of Brandon Marshall, the trade of Tony Scheffler, the pick of Tim Tebow… the list goes on. They’ve also changed their game plan a little bit as they’re now about a true west coast style of play with lots of short passing. The run is just a change of pace now and I’m not sure how that’s going to work. I think the Broncos have a lack of talent on the field right now because of injuries as well as the aforementioned roster purge. I like them at home this week, but I’m still skeptical. As far as Seattle, wow. Shock of the week last Sunday? Limiting the Niners to just two field goals? Running all over them defensively, forcing turnovers, making Alex Smith look scared and make terrible decisions? Whew. Let’s see if they can do it two weeks in a row. As they say, once is an accident. Twice is a pattern. Three times is a streak. Four times, well, they might just be for real.

• Fantasy Bruisers: Kyle Orton, Jabar Gaffney, Knowshon Moreno, Eddie Royal, Justin Forsett, John Carlson, Matt Hasselbeck, Mike Williams
• Fantasy Losers: Correll Buckhalter, Laurence Maroney, Seattle DEF, Deion Branch

Houston ( -3) vs. WASHINGTON

The Skins had a great win last week and no one can take that away from them. Forcing a turnover going in to halftime and scoring off it (which proved the difference in the game) was huge. The introduction to the Shanahan era got off to a great start with most of the team looking healthy, quick, energized and solid. But Houston, obviously, had the win of the week. Dethroning the reigning AFC Champs in such a way –they had 256 team rushing yards — was impressive. Now, let’s see if the team that traditionally takes one step forward to take two steps back can build on that, come up to D.C. and pull off a big win going into Week 3. I think we could see some big, big passing from Schaub and his crew. Don’t rule out another great game from Foster either. Any good coach will tell you that it all starts with a solid line, and Houston has developed a very good, very young offensive line which will serve them well moving forward. I like the Texans by 13, 23-10.

• Fantasy Bruisers: Matt Schaub, Andre Johnson, Arian Foster, Houston DEF, Santana Moss, Chris Cooley
• Fantasy Losers: Owen Daniels, Donovan McNabb, Clinton Portis, Malcom Kelly

SAN DIEGO(-7) vs. Jacksonville

This has the makings of a rout. San Diego returns home on a short week after a semi-major upset, the fans seem upset with GM A.J. Smith’s hard-line stance on two of the team’s best young players in Vincent Jackson and tackle Marcus McNeil. Clearly, both were missed on Monday night as you could have surmised by watching Philip Rivers stomp around like a spoiled 4-year old whose parents wouldn’t let him eat his Halloween candy for dinner. Luckily, Jacksonville’s passing defense is abysmal so he might have a fun day slinging it around to Legedu Naane, Malcom Floyd, and that decent TE the Chargers have. Thoughts about Ryan Mathews? I’m not sure what we can expect from him this season — he could warrant the first/second-round selection most used on him with games of solid yardage, and I’m sure he’ll get some scores…but it was a little worrisome to see Darren Sproles on the field in passing downs, and Mike Tolbert (Mike Tolbert?!) in later in the game and on short yardage plays.  Today will be telling as they welcome an inferior Jacksonville team into town. MJD is still an every-week start and you have to be pleased with his lack of apparent knee and leg issues Week 1. David Garrard looks to have his good judgment back — he only threw 21 times in Week 1 but completed 16 of those for 170 yards and 3 TDs without an INT. Let’s see if TE Marcedes Lewis is a legitimate red zone threat, or if his 17-pt. Week 1 was a fluke. And Mike Sims-Walker, we might be seeing you on a few league waiver wires this week if you don’t produce. We’re counting on it… I like the Chargers at home, 27-17.

• Fantasy Bruisers: Phillip Rivers, Antonio Gates, Malcom Floyd, Ryan Mathews, Chargers DEF, Maurice Jones-Drew
• Fantasy Losers: Legedu Naane, Mike Sims-Walker, Marcedes Lewis, Jacksonville DEF

New England (-3) vs. NY JETS

Oh how sweet it is. This is a tale of two teams going into their third straight year of Week 2 battles. For the Pats, Week 1 was a sort of coming out party. Everyone overlooks the potency of that offensive because it’s no longer novel, and we know exactly what to expect. Tom Brady, with his luscious locks and classic American looks, was involved in a car accident earlier in the week, and signed a big contract too. Everyone points to the fact that he has only thrown for more than 28 touchdowns once in his career, and that was the improbably 50 in 2007. Wes Welker still had people, including me, worried about his knee and whether or not he could handle 60 minutes of game time. Randy Moss is 40, right? They still have no running back, right? Wrong. The team looked downright dangerous in the rout of the playoff-worthy contenders in Cincy. Brady and Welker have a great rapport and I fully expect a big year from both. Randy Moss should figure it out, too. This week, the team traded glass man Laurence Maroney to the Broncos which will give Fred Taylor a boost in value. They have the talent (and the Defense! Did you see them flying around the field making plays helping the Pats race to a 31-3 lead?) to put 11 wins up this year, and could win the division. Meanwhile the Jets looked terrible in Week 1. Not the DEF, they looked just fine. But the offense… madonn’. Mark Sanchez threw for 75 yards. Shonn Greene — by and large a second round pick this year — did nothing except fumble twice. Surprise out of LT, who looked lithe and nimble against a very good Baltimore DEF. In total, they mustered 6 first downs in the game, the lowest in franchise history.  The Jets could very realistically be 0-2 after this weekend, and do you know how many teams have made the Super Bowl after starting 0-2? I don’t, but I can guarantee it’s less than 2. I’m taking Brady and the Pats, on the road, 27-10.

• Fantasy Bruisers: Tom Brady, Wes Welker, Rob Gronkowski, Shonn Greene, LaDainian Tomlinson
• Fantasy Losers: Fred Taylor, Randy Moss (marooned on Revis Island), Jets DEF, Mark Sanchez, Anyone who depends on Mark Sanchez to get them the ball

INDIANAPOLIS vs.  NY Giants (+5.5)

And here we are. The creme de la creme of the day. We’re in for a very nice treat with the nightcap of Manning v. Manning in The Drum in Indy. Eli’s line looked iffy, and if you’ve watched him play, his facial expressions always look iffy. But the three interceptions were all off of tipped balls, catch-able ones, that weren’t his fault. He looks like he has a great rapport with Hakeem Nicks, and we know what Steve Smith can do when he gets the looks.  The secret to their success at Indy  — and it’s hardly a secret after Arian Foster’s coming-out party — is running, running, running. I think Ahmad Bradshaw is in for a big day, getting somewhere close to 20-25 touches and scampering for 160+ yards. Brandon Jacobs is a good flex play because the Giants will find themselves in the red zone with any luck, so he might vulture a score or two. As far as Indy’s chances, you’ve gotta love Peyton at home on national TV down 0-1 on the season. He’ll be fine, believe that. The Giants’ need to key on pressuring Manning to move from the pocket and throw on the run. They need to contain Joseph Addai, and keep the linebackers in good position to cover Dallas Clark, Austin Collie, Pierre Garcon and even the running backs on swing looks.  The Colts have too many weapons and are dangerous in space. Pressure on Manning will go a long way. The Colts are the favorite, and rightfully so — they’re the best team in the AFC. But I think we’re going to see the younger Manning leave with the victory Sunday and take his team to 2-0. Giants 34-31 in a great game that goes down to the wire.

• Fantasy Bruisers: Ahmad Bradshaw, Eli Manning, Steve Smith, Hakeem Nicks, Peyton Manning, Dallas Clark, Austin Collie, Reggie Wayne
• Fantasy Losers: Mario Manningham, Brandon Jacobs, Giants DEF, Pierre Garcon, Indy DEF, Joseph Addai, Donald Brown

New Orleans (-5.5) vs. SAN FRANCISCO

I’m not sure which 49ers team we’ll see, the one who scored just 6 points (and gave up 24 on defense) against the Seahawks, or the one that everyone loved as a sleeper Super Bowl pick with a tough defense and a myriad of offensive weapons. This week is a tough test with the Super Bowl champs coming in to town. I expect the Saints to come out blazing in this one, testing the secondary and linebackers with their quick looks in the passing game. Start the usual guys for the Saints. We’ll see an increase in production from all the studs this week after a tough Minnesota game Week 1. I also think that Pierre Thomas will get around 14 touches and could have a big second half including a score. I like him for about 70 total yards and a TD. For the Niners, your guess is as good as mine about Alex Smith. I can’t tell what we’re going to get from this guy. Start Vernon Davis, Frank Gore and if you need him Crabtree, though I’m not sure he’ll have a big game. And I can’t see starting the Niners D with any confidence. I like the Saints going away, 34-17.

• Fantasy Bruisers: Drew Brees, Marques Colston, Pierre Thomas, New Orleans DEF, Vernon Davis, Frank Gore
• Fantasy Losers: Jeremy Shockey, Reggie Bush, Robert Meachem, Michael Crabtree, Alex Smith, Niners DEF

Green Bay’s star running back Ryan Grant is out for the season with a right ankle injury, a significant blow to the team after he piled up 1,200 yards in each of the past two seasons. Grant, who was injured in Sunday’s win over the Eagles after piling up just 45 yards, will require surgery to correct a torn ligament in his ankle that will leave him on crutches for 10 to 12 weeks, according to sources. Grant will likely fly to New York this week for a second opinion before electing to have the surgery, or rehab with team doctors.

Fantasy Impact: Without Grant, one of the most high-powered offenses in the NFL is without a true stud rusher. Brandon Jackson, a running back who was drafted initially to take the throne left behind by Ahman Green three years ago.  Obviously, if you’re at the top of your league’s waiver order, you’re grabbing Jackson. Without question.  But make sure you’re not dropping someone who could prove to be valuable down the line even though Week 1 didn’t go his way. I’m thinking of Fred Jackson, Dwayne Bowe, Jerome Harrison, and Joseph Addai to name just a few disappointing-but-definitely-not-cut-able studs.

Ben Roethlisberger’s suspension has been cut from six games to four by NFL commissioner Roger Goodell. The Steelers’ franchise quarterback met with Goodell early Friday and was told he could return on Oct. 17 against Cleveland.

Roethlisberger was suspended in April for violating the league’s personal conduct policy, but Goodell said at the time he would review the player’s behavior over the next few months. Goodell was satisfied that the quarterback has followed the league’s guidelines and stayed out of trouble.

“I have learned a lot over the past several months about myself as a person,” Roethlisberger said in a statement. “I am committed to continuing on this path of being the type of person my family raised me to be, and exceeding what is expected of me as the quarterback of the Pittsburgh Steelers.”

While he is out, Roethlisberger can’t practice with the Steelers, nor can he attend games or represent the team publicly in any way. He can’t have contact with any member of the coaching staff or football operations personnel.

Roethlisberger plans to work with a California-based quarterbacks coach, George Whitfield, and he’ll throw to some free-agent receivers who are looking for work in the league. Expect to see Roethlisberger join a run-first offense when he returns from suspension in October. With Dennis Dixon the likely successor/stopgap, and third-year man Rashard Mendenhall taking the rock from him, it’s yet to be determined whether or not Roethlisberger will be a 4,000 yard passer again. If you’re drafting your team, consider him a back-up given he’ll be missing a third of the fantasy regular season, not suiting up until Week 6 because of the bye week.

Houston Texans rookie running back Ben Tate has a broken ankle and is done for the season after two carries for seven yards in Saturday’s exhibition against the Arizona Cardinals. Tate was injured in the third quarter after a 12-yard run. He limped off the field and was taken to the trainer’s room on a cart. Tate also had one reception for five yards Saturday.

Fantasy Impact: The injury is significant for the Texans, who hoped Tate would add some consistency to a lackluster ground game. Now they must count on bigger contributions from Arian Foster and former starter Steve Slaton. Foster, who replaced Slaton as the team’s feature back, had 31 yards on four carries against the Cardinals. But Slaton was largely ineffective with 22 yards on 10 carries. He also fumbled into the end zone on a carry from the 1-yard line, which has been a recurring theme for the West Virginia product. If you’ve got a draft coming up, my first bit of advice would be to stand clear of this mess. But, if you feel inclined to gamble, go with Foster.  Slaton has slipped and the coaches have lost confidence in him.  Foster has the grit and toughness to grind out tough yards, plus you could get him on the cheap in/around Round 7/

As it stands right now at the beginning of training camp, Buffalo Bills running back and former All-Pro, Marshawn Lynch, sits at third on the depth chart.  Partially because of personnel, and partially because of off-field trouble, Lynch seems to have fallen out of favor with new coach Chan Gailey and his regime. 

Lynch sits behind dynamic option, Fred Jackson and rookie burner C.J. Spiller on a team with so few weapons, it’s almost laughable. It would appear that they are operating from a position of strength at the running back position, having three very capable runners who can all tote the rock 20 times per game if asked. For teams like the Saints, Cowboys and Patriots, a committee approach makes a lot of sense because there are few positions elsewhere that could be considered glaring needs.  Not the Bills.  The cupboards are bare in Buffalo. 

And that is exactly why I’m saying a late-round gamble on Lynch makes a lot of sense.

Taking Lynch in the 14^th round or later is not only an insurance policy for Jackson and/or Spiller, at this point of August, it’s an insurance policy for the entire league. As we’ve seen already, injuries happen. Having Lynch sitting on your fantasy bench until Week 1 doesn’t hurt you at all and you can always cut him on the morning of Sunday, September  12^th before game time if he doesn’t pick up with some other team lacking in their backfield.  But think about Denver’s precarious situation having lost Correll Buckhalter and Knowshon Moreno on the SAME DAY!  They had to reach out to LenDale White, an unemployed back poised to serve a 4 game suspension. Think about the Texans who got little out of their backfield last year.  Or how about the Dolphins, who are building something nice in SoFlo, but have two oft-injured or older (Tricky Ricky is 33, despite having “high”way miles on his tires, that’s still older for a running back) members of their backfield.  If one goes down, you don’t think they’d part with a linebacker or an offensive lineman  and a pick for Lynch? 

Fantasy Impact: If your draft takes place in the next week or two, take a gamble on Lynch late.  Kickers are dime-a-dozen.  If it doesn’t work out, no one faults you later.  But if it does, and he ends up the goal line vulture on the Saints, a back-up on the Texans, or the “2” in the Rams’ 1-2 punch, you might be riding him into the post-season.

It all comes down to this.  LeBron James is the final piece to fall into place of all the major players in this year’s free agent class.  He’s been gearing up for this and hearing about it from Worldwide Wes, his mother, his friends, his teammates, the media — perhaps even Barack Obama has placed a call with the King– for the last 8 years of his life. LeBron has started this rumor avalanche based on his accepted courting from New York, Chicago, New Jersey, Los Angeles’ Minor League Franchise, Miami and of course Cleveland. He’s flirted with all of them, listened to what riches each could lavish him with, and even found time to talk hoops with some. This circus will come to a close on ESPN as Bron’s entourage has orchestrated a documentary-style reveal with “The Decision” to air at 9pm on Thursday night.  Clearly, there are persistent rumors that he’ll sign with Miami. Other signs speak to the fact that, with his announcement coming from Connecticut, it makes sense that he’ll say New York or New Jersey because of that.  What seems most obvious, however, is that LeBron will be getting a new zip code.  Everything seems to say that Cleveland isn’t the answer. He refused to meet with Tom Izzo, rumored to be a coaching candidate prior to Byron Scott’s hiring. He’s spread word that he doesn’t believe the roster is capable. Mike Brown is gone. Danny Ferry is gone.  He’s the biggest brand in basketball, sure.  But until he wins the rings, he’ll never be the greatest.  While he’s the great possessor of other-worldly talent, he’s still not Kobe.  And he’s certainly not Jordan.  To reach that echelon, he’ll have to secure himself between 4-5 rings. And to do that, he’s got to leave Cleveland.  But that begs the question: Where is the best place for Bron to win? Well, that’s what we’re trying to answer by speculating on what would life be like if LeBron decided to…

1) …sign with The New York Knicks.

This is my preferred scenario as an individual raised on Knicks ball of the late eighties and nineties. By joining already-committed Amar’e Stoudemire and young Nowitzki clone, Danilo Gallinari as the core of a team on the re-build, the Knicks instantly become a 1-4 seed in the East. This is LeBron’s chance at true legend status. There’s financial flexibility and the ability to tailor the roster around D’Antoni-style ballers, and LeBron-preferred teammates. The city of New York is built on superstardom status, larger than life figures and phenomenal expectations for greatness.  There is no other option.  Winning is the only path.  That’s what has made the last decade of futility, utter base failure, so gut-wrenching. They haven’t won a title since 1973, which is a long time.  But the fact that they haven’t been competitive for a decade feels so much longer. For his opportunity to become the unequivocal premier athlete, the choice is clear.  Get in a New York state of mind.

2)…move to South Beach with Dwyane and Chris B.

The easy way out.  This is the worst idea of all. If he does this, he’ll go down as a player who couldn’t win on his own and needed the help of two other All-Stars to succeed.  Instantly, that makes him the second best player of his draft class, the second best of his era, and keeps him from the pantheon of greatness where Jordan, Russell, Magic, Kareem reside, and possibly where Kobe and Shaq may call home when it’s all said and done. Furthermore, this centralizes the power in the Eastern Conference to basically two teams, both of which call Florida home.  With a roster filled out by washed-ups, has-beens or never-was’es, the three amigos would have to log major, major city miles on their tires this year. We’re talking 82-100 games of 35+ minutes if they want to have a shot at a favorable road to the big one.  I hate this option.  Hate it.  If he does this, and goes on TV to do it no less, he’s the worst kind of self-obsessed, heartless jerk who kills a franchise, nay, city, in front of millions of onlookers.  Terrible.

3)…kick the swarm of buzzing voices to the curb, man up, and stay in Cleveland.

If he really wanted to “man up,” he’d sign a three-year deal and see what they can do to help him get back to the Finals like 2007. I don’t see this happening, so there’s no point in discussing too much.  I just wish this whole thing went down differently.  To go on national TV to embarrass a whole city is pretty low.  Everyone in the NBA (with the exception of guys like Eddy Curry and Vince Carter) want to win at all costs.  But going out and ditching your home by declaring on national TV that they’re not good enough.. ice cold.

Fantasy Impact: Look, LeBron is LeBron.  He’ll still get his points no matter where he goes. The main thing to consider is how much better he’ll make the team around him.  That’s where we’ll see the real impact.  If he joins Amar’e in New York or if he stays home with Mo Williams and Antawn Jamison, or if he goes to the Bulls to team up with Rose, Noah and Boozer, that’s where we’ll see the changes — in those secondary players.  Don’t worry about LeBron. He’ll be fine.  Anyone with the ego and pomposity to air a 60-minute special about a decision will find a way to get by.